There's a lot that can happen Tuesday, the culmination of a long midterm election campaign that will provide the first nationwide measure of the US electorate since Donald Trump was elected president. With races extremely tight in many House battles, control of the House will come down to turnout in key races.
During his final campaign rallies in Ohio, Indiana and Missouri, Mr Trump returned to his key campaigning issues, including insisting that Democrats would damage the economy and allow more illegal immigration.
He, like most analysts and party officials, said the most probable scenario is in between - Democrats pick up more than the 23 seats needed to gain the majority in the House, while the GOP is likely to hold onto its Senate majority and possibly gain a few seats. The president's energetic rallies appear to have bolstered Republicans who were trying to match Democratic fervor, and 36 million ballots were cast even before Election Day, with early voting higher than four years ago in 25 states and the District of Columbia. The Democrats' own results will resolve an internal ideological debate of whether, in the age of Trump, the party should abandon the centre and move left. "It's very simple", Trump said on November 4 at a rally in Chattanooga, Tennessee. "Democrats are inviting caravan after caravan, illegal immigrants to flood into our country".
"I don't care", he told reporters as he arrived in IN for a campaign rally.
The question, as I say, is whether he's taken it so far that some indies otherwise inclined to vote GOP for economic reasons might shy away now.
"I would say tone. That is an invasion of our country". "Pollsters expect the House to go to the Democrats, which reduce chances of fresh stimulus, raise chances of debt ceiling grid-lock and probably be slightly dollar negative". He told the AP last month that he won't bear any responsibility should Democrats take over.
"The only check right now on the behavior of these Republicans is you and your vote". When you participate in the political process, you can be a check on bad behavior. "32% said their vote was a signal of support and 40% said it was a sign of opposition".
Of the 35 seats up for election, 26 of them are held by senators who caucus with Democrats, leaving the minority party mostly playing defense. The survey also makes clear why Democrats are closing on healthcare, while Republicans are focused on the economy and border security.
Both parties are working to get their voters to the polling booths Tuesday and who actually shows up to vote is critical. The polls now show Democrats with a razor-thin, but consistent advantage heading into Election Day. That's up near presidential election levels. "I think there's going to be a big backlash against Republicans because of this divisiveness". "The Democrats will do quite well in the House of Representatives, in the governorships and state legislatures".More news: One person dead after two small planes collide mid-air in Ottawa
There are very obvious downsides to Republicans' losing the House for Trump.
Nationally, about 52 percent of Americans disapprove of Trump's performance.
"People are coming out because they care about taking back the House and turning this country around", she said, calling Pelosi an "inspiring leader". "That is particularly true when a president is unpopular, as this president is".
Historically, voter turnout for midterm elections tends to be lower than for general elections, but that doesn't mean they aren't important.
"It's all fragile. Everything I told you about, it can be undone and changed..." he warned his base Monday.
It found registered voters preferred Democratic candidates for the House over Republicans by 50 percent to 43 percent, but that was down from a 14-point advantage in August.
With a House majority, Democrats can significantly hamper the Trump administration's ability to implement its programs and could also begin impeachment proceedings against Trump, though they would need a two-thirds majority in the Senate to remove him from office. He said Democrats encouraged chaos at the borders because it was good politics. "Anything that gets done will have to be a bipartisan basis".
Democrats' path to try to regain control of the House goes all the way through California, where several Republican-held districts are in play and issues like immigration and health care ring loudly.
After two years of wielding no practical political power in Washington, the Democratic Party faces a strong chance of winning control of the US House of Representatives in next week's election, with Republicans likely to keep the Senate.