This historical analysis doesn't lend itself to fancying Thiem's chances of denying Nadal an 11th French Open title this afternoon, and neither did my model pricing either. "I had tough moment in the third set with cramps in my hand". "It's impossible to think something like this". "I was very scared".
"I was 11-years-old, watching it on TV and honestly I never expected that one day I would play the finals here so I am still really happy". "But in the end, it was not too hard".
On Sunday, the Clay Court King defeated yet another French Open Gran Slam aspirant - Dominic Thiem - with a straight-set victory 6-4, 6-3, 6-2 to collect his 11th Roland Garros title and 17th Grand Slam overall. "It's definitely one of the best things somebody ever achieved in sport". But this will be the first time they've met in a Grand Slam final. The other three are Rod Laver, Ken Rosewall and Federer, all of whom have won four each. He overcame that hurdle with a run to the quarterfinals, having survived three five-setters in a row along the way.
After the victory - which saw Nadal claim his 17th Grand Slam title in total, just three behind Roger Federer's all-time record of 20 - social media was quick to laud the 32-year-old's staggering achievement. The two stars have combined to win the past six Slams.
Nadal was rampant when he broke early in the second, but Thiem raised his game to force a break point when Nadal served at 4-2 - a game in which the Spaniard was warned for slow play. During Australian Open 2018 quarter-final against Marin Cilic, Nadal with a hip problem was forced to retire.
"It's incredible, I can't describe my feelings because it's not even a dream to win here 11 times", said an emotional Nadal after the final. Nadal is a huge Madrid fan, and is often seen at games.
The only man with more titles at a single major is Nadal in Paris.More news: Memphis woman arrested for transporting kids in pet kennels, police say
It worked. For a bit. A forehand wide. A forehand into the net.
But Nadal held with some clever drop shots and after taking the second set it merely became a race against time to finish off Thiem before the rain arrived.
By then, Nadal was finding his spots. The Spaniard's 11th Monte Carlo title and his eighth Rome title were his 31st and 32nd Masters titles, respectively, breaking a tie with Djokovic, who has won 30. Thiem was hammering every ball that he could, and Nadal was responding with his classic clay court defense.
The world No. 1 went up 40-0 during Thiem's first service of the third set. "You could nearly see the hand start cramping up as the fingers go stiff - it's a disgusting feeling", Croft said. "I was not under control of my [middle] finger". At the following changeover, Nadal was given a salt pill by a doctor and had his left forearm massaged by a trainer.
Nadal joins Australia's Margaret Court as the only player to win 11 titles at the same major.
Shortly, he'd be holding the silver trophy, the one he knows so well, and crying.
It's time to bid au revoir to Roland Garros, as this year's French Open has come to a close. The crescendo rose to a full-throated roar for 2017.