If that happens, by September 18 it could again be pointed at the islands all but destroyed by Hurricane Irma last week.
According to the long-term forecast, Jose is expected to turn northeast Monday night, then move slower toward the southeast Tuesday, Sept. 12 and Tuesday night.
Hurricane Jose winds have since decreased to near 75 miles per hour (120 km/h) with higher gusts, just above the 74 miles per hour threshold for category 1.
The National Hurricane Center forecast takes the storm's path out to five days.
Mr McKenzie continued: "The loop stops midway in the southwest Atlantic".
"It's important to emphasize that there is a still a lot of computer model uncertainty on Jose's next move but it still is a storm to watch for the US and Canada", he said. After that, the storm is likely to remain at sea rather than heading toward the U.S. Of 20 runs of the GFS model ensemble forecast Monday morning, 25% resulted in an eventual landfall in the USA, and another 25% in Canada.
Caicos before Irma
The remnants of Irma will actually help to steer the system this weekend, carving a path in the subtropical ridge that will make it easier for the storm to escape out to sea.
Forecasters were reluctant late Monday afternoon to predict the storm's intensity or threat to the mainland beyond Saturday.
It's possible that Jose could become a tropical storm by the day's end.
Irma already had the ocean stirred up, and now Jose is becoming the dominant agitator, the weather service says.
The warning comes in the aftermath of Hurricane Irma, the strongest ever Atlantic Ocean hurricane on record, which left a terrifying path of destruction behind it as it moved across the Caribbean and towards the United States, killing at least 22 and injuring hundreds more.More news: USA to open three disaster recovery centres in Houston