Republicans Who Won't Support Health Care: Will More Join?


The report issued by the Congressional Budget Office on Monday estimates that 15 million people would lose coverage through Medicaid by 2026 under the proposed Senate bill.

The Senate bill does more to reduce the federal budget deficit compared to its counterpart in the House of Representatives. Senate Republicans unveil a revised health care bill in hopes of securing support from wavering GOP lawmakers, including one who calls the drive to whip his party's bill through the Senate this week "a little offensive". That legislation would leave 23 million fewer Americans with health insurance by 2026 than under the Affordable Care Act, CBO said earlier. Similar to the House bill, the CBO estimated the Senate plan would lead to lower premiums than the Affordable Care Act after 2020. "It's a bad bill", he said in Washington Monday.

All told, an estimated 49 million people would be uninsured by 2026 compared to 28 million who would lack it under the Obamacare framework. Spicer said the president spent the weekend calling several senators, including Cruz, Paul and Johnson, as well as West Virginia Sen.

Every tweak to the current Senate bill invites new problems. Members of the Freedom Caucus will decide that while they'd prefer if it would throw even more people off their coverage and make life even more miserable for the poor and the sick, they'll take what they can get, because this is their only chance.

The original Senate bill had dropped the Obamacare penalty on those who do not have insurance. Mitch McConnell has said it is so important to him to have a vote this week before the July Fourth recess, but if the votes aren't there, could there be reason for him to postpone a vote, let people go home and come back when they've had more time to think about it?

It's this week - or bust - for the Senate health care bill, as Republicans work to release a new version Monday. The whole point of Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell's strategy of writing the bill in secret and then quickly pushing it through is to minimize public attention and opposition.

Several moderates Republicans, including Susan Collins of ME, have already said they could not support a bill that resulted in tens of millions of people losing their insurance.

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But that would be in part because the GOP's financial assistance is pegged to plans with higher out-of-pocket costs.

CBO represents the official analysis of the Senate's bill, though some Republicans have sought to cast doubt on its accuracy. The last version of the House healthcare bill would have made unstable the markets for people purchasing insurance not through an insurer or government program like Medicaid, the CBO said, but the Senate bill would not destabilize these markets.

While the House version allowed the previously uninsured to get coverage immediately, albeit at raised prices, the Senate proposal would prevent them from purchasing any coverage at all for at least six months if they "cannot demonstrate 12 months of continuous creditable coverage. without experiencing a significant break".

The Senate bill would roll back much of Obama's health care overhaul. His statute pressures people to buy insurance by imposing a tax penalty on those who don't, but the Republican legislation would repeal that penalty, effectively erasing Obama's so-called individual mandate. The organization, which represents numerous nation's doctors, said the legislation would likely produce skimpier subsidies and fewer benefits for consumers, and "will expose low and middle income patients to higher costs and greater difficulty in affording care".

The change comes as congressional forecasters are trying to predict how the Senate bill would affect insurance costs and coverage.

According to the CBO, most low-income people would shift to plans with a actuarial value because they would likely have more comparable premiums to the current, higher actuarial value plans they now have.

"Get Obamacare repealed and replaced, get tax reform passed", Deason continued.